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Electricity Market Structure
Electricity Market Structure in Turkey |
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| Electric industry is considered as one of the major production industries in Turkey and it’s equal to %2.2 of Turkey’s Gross Domestic Product. Electric Industry is also one of the fastest growing industries in Turkey with annual growth reaching almost %8 between 1991 and 2004. By 2005, nominal sales in the electric industry reached a volume of $11.5 billion US dollars. (In 2005 approximately $12.5 billion US dollars)
MAJOR INDUSTRIES* OF TURKEY , 2004 (BILLION USD$) EXPANSION RATE* OF INDUSTRIES |
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| 1991 - 2004 |
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*Nominal gross production – 2004
**Total production by retail prices |
*Annual median
Source: Global Insight |
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| In 2004, Turkey produced 150,7 TWh, in 2005 161,9 TWh and in 2006 175,7 TWh.
Despite a fast growing demand in Turkey, the electricity consumption by 2004 is 2,090 kWh per capita; which is much lower than the median EU consumption per capita: 6,460 kWh. But meanwhile, Secretary of Energy and Natural Resources in Turkey projects a %7.7 annual growth in nominal demand and forecasts the consumption per capita increase up to 5,700 kWh in 2020.
ELECTRICTY CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA, 2004 (KWH/CAPITA) (TWh) ELECTRICITY DEMAND FORECAST, 2004 2020
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*Gross consumption per capita
Sources: Secretary of Energy and Natural Resources, EIA, EUROSTAT |
Source: Energy Market Regulatory Authority (EPDK) 2003 |
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The main factors that boost this expectation are; general growth in the economy, population growth, increases of the electricity usage in daily life and the expansion of industrial production. Currently there is a huge supply and demand gap, in which the State is insufficient to fill. This gap is planned to be filled by the private sector investments. If private sector investments lack, some actions will be taken as indicated in the Strategy Certificate: increasing the state investments and imports, improving current facilities.
Until recent years, electric industry in Turkey was under the total control of the state by TEK (Turkish Electricity Association). TEK was divided in to two associations in 1993 as a result of market liberalization and privatization objectives; TEAS (production, transmission, wholesale) and TEDAS (distribution).
TEAS was divided into three divisions in with the release of Electricity Market Law in 2001 as: EUAS (production division), TETAS (wholesale division) and TEIAS (transmission division).
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- EUAS, took over the ownership and management rights of thermal power plants from TEAS and hydraulic power plants from DSI (General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works) where keeping the property rights of the facilities including the additional investments. EUAS has the right of building, renting and managing of new production establishments, in order to improve the private corporation investments.
- TETAS was established to realize the wholesale of the energy buy/sell agreements signed by TEAS and TEDAS in accordance with the present agreements. TETAS, will cover the costs that occur from the BO (Build-Operate), BOT (Build-Operate-Transfer), TMR (Transfer of Management Rights) agreements.
- TEIAS took over all the transmission plants that were under the state property. It is responsible for preparing transmission investment plans, building, managing new transmission plants and maintaining the proper functioning of fiscal market conciliation.
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| ELECTRIC INDUSTRY VALUE CHAIN |
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| *Companies producing electricity under the BO, BOT, TMR plan |
Source: TEIAS, DIE, TEDAS |
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| Today, the dominant position of the state on the electricity industry still continues. By 2006, EUAS and its partners, own the %58.7 of the electricity production capacity in Turkey and they own %48.1 of the production. TEIAS and TETAS still serve as national monopolies over the transmission and wholesale. TEDAS and its partners, distribute in 20 of 21 distribution areas. They dominate the market by %98 in distribution and %71 by electricity sale.
Both “Electricity Market Law” and the “Strategy Certificate” aim to attract private sector investments and realize a large scale reorganization in order to improve productivity, establish market competitiveness and a healthy liberalization process.
Through this reorganization and liberalization process:
- EUAS, the dominant company over the electricity production market will be divided into various share companies of hydraulic, lignite and gas ignition facilities. EUAS will keep the ownership of the major hydraulic power plants assigned from DSI but the thermal power plants and small sized hydraulic power plants are being privatized since 2007. However, EUAS will still keep the ownership of the production facilities managed by companies that act under BOT (Build Operate Transfer) and TMR (Transfer of Management Rights) plans.
- The transmission net managed by TEIAS will stay under the state monopoly in order to maintain the independence of the current system.
- TETAS will maintain its position under the state monopoly, but by time it will assign its rights to private industry through bilateral agreements.
- Distribution will be made by private distribution companies in result of the privatization process. But TEDAS will still maintain the freehold of the assets, and in areas where the privatization process hasn’t been completed the distribution activity will be made by joint owner companies
- Distribution and the retail sale process will be separated from each other. Distribution companies will have the right to produce and/or realize capacity sales to independent clients in their regions. By the crossover time (2006-2010) independent clients can buy electricity from the distribution companies and/or auto producers in their regions. Even after the establishment of private retail sale companies, distribution companies will be able to make sales to independent clients in their regions or in the other regions, if indicated by the contract. Moreover, the distribution company will have the obligation of providing energy to the consumers that don’t have possibility of being supplied by another retail company. By the decision of the regulatory authority distribution and retail activities will have to be divided legally, until the end of the crossover process.
- Electricity import and export process is planned to be managed by TETAS, private wholesale companies, retail sale companies and retail sale licensed distribution companies.
- Some energy contracts have been signed between TETAS/EUAS and the production companies in order to realize a smooth transition from the current monopoly status to privatization which supports to estimate the electricity prices accurately. These contracts involve %85 of the total electricity demand of dependent clients. Transition period contracts have been signed with the prearranged prices and entail a five year period. After the ending period of these contracts, they will be replaced by new contracts, with accurate market prices.
Fiscal conciliation mechanism built by TEIAS, has been functioning since 2006. This mechanism helps to form a spot market, in order to remove the current imbalances and to create an easier market access for the small independent energy producers.
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| FORECASTED MARKET STRUCTURE BY ELECTRICITY MARKET LAW |
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| Social and macroeconomic policies help determine the electricity prices of the Turkish market. A national tariff is applied for each client group in the country, in order to subsidy non-developed regions and private client groups.
Unlike many developed and developing countries, the electricity prices have been stabilized in the same level for industrial and residential clients. However, with some new regulations, these prices are re-arranged in order to be more advantageous for industrial clients. In recent years, electricity prices have been stabilized in YTL terms where fluctuated in USD terms.
PRODUCTION
In electricity production, there are various market players such as state production company EUAS and its partners, private companies that operate under BO, BOT and TMR applications, private mobile producers and auto producers / auto producer groups.
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- EUAS and its partners, administrate the state owned thermal and hydraulic power plants.
In mid 1990’s some production companies were established by the change of private sector production law. Starting from 1985, the electricity demand increased constantly, sometimes reaching over %10.
- Demand is forecasted to increase which brings the necessity of more investments in the energy sector. Since the State lacks capital for these kind of investments, some plans have been made in order to attract private investors; such as BO (Build-Operate), BOT (Build-Operate-Transfer) and TMR (Transfer of Management Rights)
- BOT plan was arranged in accordance with the “No. 3096 Law” enacted in 1984. This law enabled the private sector to have the rights of electricity production, transmission and trade. With this implementation, private companies can build new production facilities, operate them for 20 years and then transfer it to TEAS (in the current structure to EUAS). Mostly, the companies that operate through this plan, have long term energy trade agreements with TEAS, based on mandatory purchase principle.
- Similar to BOT plan, TMR arrangement has been formed in accordance with the law no.3096. By TMR, private investors are obliged to finance renewal and expansion for 20 years. And the facilities will continue to be the property of the State.
- BO plan which allows private investors to have the right of property was formed in 1996 by 96/8269 no. Council of Ministers Conclusion. Companies that are operated by this plan have long term energy trade agreements with TEAS (TETAS in the current structure) based on mandatory purchase principle. And BOTAS (Petroleum Pipeline Corporation)is obliged to provide natural gas to these companies for 20 years with previously fixed price. In case of not being able to provide, BOTAS is responsible to cover the energy costs that may occur.
- Mostly, the production facilities that use fuel-oil or diesel oil are managed under the BO plan by private companies.
Auto producers and auto producer groups, are basically described as legal entities that produce electricity for themselves or for their partners. These companies are usually joint companies of a major holding company, operating in textile, chemicals or metallurgy industries. By time, these auto producers have transformed into private energy providers of third party companies.
- In result of the high demand and the private companies’ entry to the market, energy production capacity has increased drastically over 20 years. In 1985 this capacity was 9.1 GW, but in 2004 it increased to 36.8 GW. (38.8 GW in the end of 2005) While the production in 1985 was 34.2 TWh, in 2004 it increased to 150.7 TWh. Because of the developing private companies operating under mobile facilities and auto producer arrangements, BO, BOT and TMR shares in the gross state production, decreased from %91 (in 1995) to %45 (in 2004)
- %59 of the present capacity is provided by the state production company EUAS and its joint partners. 10 lignite, 1 coal, 3 diesel and 3 natural gas power stations of EUAS and its joint partners have 10.8 GW thermal production in total. The rest of the 11.5 GW capacity of EUAS is provided by nearly 100 hydroelectric power plants. EUAS and its joint partners constitute %45 (68.0 TWh) of Turkey’s electricity production.
- Private and independent producers established under BO, BOT and TMR plans have %29 of the total capacity. Almost %75 of this capacity is provided by natural gas plants and the rest is provided by lignite-coal power plants and renewable energy plants. Two private companies that operate under TMR plan constitute %2 of the total capacity (0.7 GW). 13 mobile electric power plants constitute almost %2 of the total capacity (0.8 GW). All these facilities have provided %39 of the total energy produced in 2004.
- Total production capacity of the auto producers in Turkey is 4.4 GW (%12 of total capacity) %49 of this capacity is provided by natural gas power plants, %16 by oil/diesel power plants and %15 by hydraulic power plants. Ak Enerji, Zorlu Enerji, EnerjiSA and Colakoglu Metalurji are amongst the major auto producers. The total production of the auto producers constitute %16 of 2004 production (23.8 TWh)
PRODUCTION CAPACITY BY PRODUCER TYPES (1985-2004) (GW), (%)
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| Source: TEIAS |
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| PRODUCTION CAPACITY BY PRODUCER TYPES (1985-2004) (TWh), (%) |
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| Source: TEIAS |
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| Hydraulic and thermal power plants have been the dominant production facilities until 1990’s. But afterwards, because of the increased demand, attractive legislations for private investments and environmental factors, natural gas has converted to be the most important fuel in electricity production. |
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- By 2004, operating 135 thermal power plants constitute %34 (12.6 GW) of the current capacity, and %31 (46.1 TWh) of the current production.
- Turkey is estimated to have the potential of %1 global hydraulic production. But because of the agricultural irrigation usage of the water, it is not used efficiently. This capacity is forecasted to be tripled in the 20 year long term plans. In 1986, one of the biggest irrigation and hydraulic energy production projects of the world called GAP (Southeastern Anatolia Project) has been initiated, and is supposed to be completed in 2010. This project envisages the construction of 22 dams and 19 hydraulic power plants with a capacity of 7.5 GW.
- By 2004, electricity production facilities with natural gas constituted %35 (12.8 GW) of the current capacity and %41 (62.2 TWh) of gross production.
- For having limited national gas resources, Turkey imports large amounts of gas in order to supply the rising demand. Because of Turkey’s advantageous geopolitics, importing gas from Middle Asia/Middle East countries or by the alternative gas pipeline projects has been a very attractive investment. Russia, for having the Blue Stream project, provides the majority of gas demand in Turkey (%65 of total demand) The rest of the gas providing countries include: Iran (%16) Algeria (%15) and Nigeria (%5)
- Growth of hydraulic and natural gas production led lignite/coal production decrease from %34 (1985) to %23 (2004). Gross production of lignite/coal constituted %23 of the market in 2004 (34.4 TWh)
- Turkey, with approximately 8 billion metric ton lignite reserves, is the seventh biggest country in terms of the reserve size. But only a small size of these reserves is suitable to utilize as an energy source. By using newer technologies and by the natural factors, it is possible to raise the quality of lignite and that would define the usage share in the future. Turkey is predicted to have 700 million tons of coal reserves. Coke coal constitutes %80 of these reserves.
Fuel-oil constitutes %7 of the actual capacity (3.0GW) and %4 of the production (9.7 TWh) Turkey’s oil production nears approximately 1.6 million tons, and this only supplies the %5 of the national demand. Because of the low petroleum reserves, the country is dependent on oil import.
- Renewable energy consumption in Turkey is actually very limited. However Turkish government constituted the law no. 5346 in order to boost the consumption of this type of energy. Turkey is estimated to have a potential of 10GW wind energy. Actually a very small percentage of this energy is consumed, but it’s known that there are some wind energy projects authorized by EPDK (Energy Market Regulatory Authority)
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| The total electricity production in 2006 was processed by EUAS with %40.45, %24.24 BO Plants, %9.38 auto-producers, %8.40 BOT plants, %7.65 Independent Producer Companies, %2.31 TMR plants and % 0.31 mobile plants. |
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| By the end of year 2006, established power source that belongs to EUAS is %49.33, power plants under BO plan %14.91, Auto-producers %9.81, power plants operated under BOT plan %5.99, EUAS and affiliated partners %9.37, Independent Producing Companies by %7.44, power plants operated under TMR plan %1.59 and mobile power plants %1.57. |
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| In 2006, realized production of Turkey was %74.80 from thermal sources, %25.13 from hydraulic sources and %0.07 from wind sources. |
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| %43.96 of the electricity was produced from natural gas, %25.23 from hydraulic sources and %18.35 from lignite. In Turkey, electricity is mostly produced by imported fuel. %53.55 of the electricity is produced by natural gas, imported coal, fuel-oil, LPG |
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| In 2006 total established power sources in Turkey are: 40.175,70 MW. These established power sources include %67.34 thermal sources, %32.51 hydraulic sources, and % 0.15 wind sources. Similar to the production statistics, natural gas has the biggest share in established power source by %35.4. Lignite and coal power sources have %20. In recent years, local coal mines were opened to private investors by TKI (General directorate of Turkish coal) and EUAS. And besides, for the low production cost, imported-coal relied power plants have been established recently. Meantime, the renewable energy is ought to be more popular in the upcoming years. |
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TRANSMISSION AND IMPORTATION
Transmission activity, is managed by the state monopoly TEIAS with equal prices to all system users. Therewithal, TEIAS is responsible to supply production needs and to maintain the market conciliation in order.
Turkey has a 45,780 km. long high voltage and very high voltage electricity transmission net. This net has a total capacity of 2560 MW and is connected to all neighbor countries: Bulgaria 1250 MW, Georgia 300 MW, Azerbaijan 110 MW, Armenia 300 MW, Iraq 500 MW and Iran 100 MW. Transmission with Greece and Syria is in construction, there is a probability of secondary transmission lines with Iran and Iraq. When all completed, the capacity will be as: Greece – 750 MW, Syria – 750 MW, Iran – 600 MW and Iraq – 500 MW.
Import volume stayed considerably low until 1996, between years 1996 – 2001 with a small, expansion it reached to %3.7 of the total consumption. But in 2004 it came down to %0.3 levels.
Until 1990 transmission lines have expanded steadily, but with the decreasing investments, network growth slowed down. Especially between 1994 and 2001, when whole economy slowed down in general.
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| Source: TEIAS |
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| In 1998, TEIAS initiated some new investment programs through the National Transmission Network project with the support of World Bank. These programs aim to expand the present network, its security and service quality. National Transmission Network project has a 450 million US$ budget in total and it is planned to be completed 10 years.
Production is mostly settled in the eastern part of Turkey, but the major consumption is in the western part. Because of the distance between the east and the west, there are some transmission restraints and the transmission loss is higher than the international norms. The new thermal power plants built in the west and the electricity import from Bulgaria has narrowed these restraints moderately. For years, transmission lost level has been maintained between %2.0 - %3.5. Transmission lost in 2004 (%2.4) was near to the levels that is seen in the developed countries .
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DISTRIBUTION
According to the Electricity Market Law, given EPDK license, distribution sector is allowed to function as regional monopoly. By 17.03.2004 dated Strategy Certificate, Turkey has been divided into 21 distribution regions with 20 of them in privatization process. Geographical proximity, administration structure, energy demand and technical/fiscal reasons were the major criterias for these divisions. Geographical status and other details of these divisions are shown below.
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| TEDAS and its distribution companies are responsible for 20 regions, they all realize %98 of the total electricity distribution. Kayseri is the unique distribution region which is managed by a private company. Management rights of distribution were transferred to KCETAS in 1990. The company itself realizes the %2 of Turkey’s net electricity distribution.
By 2004, Turkish distribution network contain, 842,393 km cable (%40 Medium Voltage %60 Low Voltage; %94 by air, %6 underground) 270,000 transformer with 84,000 MVA capacity and 13 million electricity pole.
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Distribution losses and leaks have been increasing through 1990’s. The loss and leak of TEDAS in 1990 was %10.7 and %21.6 in 2000. Though loss and leak percentage decreased in 2000, but by %18.6 in 2004 it’s still considered a very high level. Technical fault percentage makes around %7-8 of this loss/leak, but illegal usage of electricity makes %10-11 of the total loss/leak amount. Main reasons of the illegal usage are:
- Insufficient support and effort for fighting with illegal usage; illegal usage is thought to be as a social right.
- Illegal supply for low-income community that settle into big cities.
- Increasing technical loss, in result of insufficient investment on the network.
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| Source: TEDAS
Loss / leak percentage in the distribution regions differ between %7 and %64. As shown below, loss/leak percentage is lower in the western region. Main reasons for different percentages are: geographical varieties, network quality, demographical properties (income, education level) and management conception.
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Even though the loss/leak percentages are still high, the percentage is getting lower with the help of some practices by TEDAS and its partners:
- TEDAS and its distribution companies formed new teams to detect loss/leak in high consuming areas. In 2003 these teams inspected 5 to 6 million clients, detected 300.000 leak cases, punished $ 170 million and collected $ 46 million
- Clients who install the count meter improperly were tracked and necessary actions were taken.
- Retail service duties such as measurement, invoicing and collecting have been given to subcontractor companies. Some award projects are developed for the personnel that detect leak/loss.
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RETAIL SALE
In the current market structure, retail sales to dependent clients are done by TEDAS owned distribution companies and KCETAS but for the independent clients the retail sales are also done by auto producers and private producers.
In 2005 net electricity consumption was 121 TWh. Total client number is approximately 27 million. Industrial clients consume almost %49, residential clients %23, commercial clients and state corporations %23 of the total outcome. The rest is consumed by city lightings and agricultural irrigation. In 2004 TEDAS and its joint partners supplied %71 of the retail sale. They have the share of %45 sale in industrial consumption and %96 in residential consumption.
TEDAS and joint partners serve approximately 22.6 million residence clients, 3.5 million commercial corporation clients (including state) , 0.3 million agricultural irrigation clients. Because of the high population, urbanization and industrialization, electricity consumption in the western part is the most highest in the country. But home residents’ share on the total consumption has some differentials between %15 and %43 depending on each region’s characteristics.
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